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For Immediate Release:
05/04/2007
For More Information:
Contact Nathan Willcox
(215) 732-5897

World's Scientists: Global Warming is Solvable--if Governments Take Action

Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Also Would Improve Energy Security, Improve Health, and Create Jobs

Philadelphia, PA—The pollution reductions needed to stave off the worst effects of global warming can be achieved—if governments act now, according to a major consensus report released today by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).  The IPCC is a United Nations body charged with assessing the scientific record on global warming.

“Delayed emission reductions lead to investments that lock in more emission-intensive infrastructure and development pathways.  This significantly constrains the opportunities to achieve lower [greenhouse gas] stabilization levels and increases the risk of more severe climate impacts,” the report states.   

“This report provides a roadmap on how to avoid the worst effects of global warming, but we have to start moving now,” said Nathan Willcox, Energy & Clean Air Advocate for PennEnvironment.  “The sooner we act in Pennsylvania, Washington, DC and globally, the sooner we start improving energy security, creating jobs, and protecting future generations from the worst effects of global warming."

In Pennsylvania, the Rendell administration is developing a state-level plan to cut global warming pollution.  Since Pennsylvania creates more global warming pollution than every state besides Texas and California, PennEnvironment is urging Gov. Rendell to include tough science-based pollution reduction targets as part of his administration's plan.

Today's IPCC report finds that already available energy efficiency and renewable energy technologies could substantially reduce global warming pollution, while improving energy security, reducing air pollution, and creating jobs.  Taken together with the second volume of the IPCC’s report, released in April, it also finds that it is cheaper to prevent dangerous global warming than to deal with its consequences.

The document released today, entitled “Mitigation of Climate Change,” is the Summary for Policymakers of the third volume of the IPCC’s Fourth Assessment Report.  Major findings include the following:

  • Pollution Will Skyrocket Unless Governments Act: Global emissions are projected to rise by 25-90% over 2000 levels by 2030, unless policies are adopted to reduce emissions.
  • Still Possible to Avoid Dangerous Global Warming: To prevent dangerous global warming (as documented in the second volume of the IPCC’s report), global emissions would need to peak no later than 2015 and then decline by as much as 50% by 2050, thereby limiting the global average temperature increase to about 2°C over pre-industrial levels (which is equivalent to 3.6°F, or about 2°F over today’s levels).  This level of reduction “can be achieved by deployment of a portfolio of technologies that are currently available today and those that are expected to be commercialized in coming decades.”  While not specified in today’s release, the U.S. must reduce its emissions by at least 80% by 2050 to meet the global target of about 50% reductions, given our greater contribution to the problem.  These are the reduction targets and time lines that PennEnvironment is urging Gov. Rendell to include in his state-level global warming plan.
  • Action Cheaper than Inaction: Stabilizing greenhouse gas concentrations at relatively safe levels will cost less than 3% of expected economic growth by 2030 (less than 0.12% per year).  Costs would be lower if carbon permits are auctioned and the revenue is invested in energy efficiency and the development of new, clean energy technologies.  The former chief economist of the World Bank, Sir Nicholas Stern, has put the price of unmitigated warming at as high as 20% of global GDP by 2100.  
  • Vast Potential for Energy Efficiency: Energy efficiency in vehicles and buildings could significantly reduce global warming emissions “ with net economic benefit” and with  “large co-benefits,” but “many barriers exist against tapping this potential.”  The co-benefits include improved energy security, job creation, lower costs, and reduced air pollution.
  • Vast Potential for Renewable Energy: “Given costs relative to other supply options, renewable electricity…can have a 30-35% share of the total electricity supply in 2030….”  “Renewable energy generally has a positive effect on energy security, employment, and on air quality.”
  • Reducing Global Warming Pollution Can Improve Health: “[N]ear-term health co-benefits from reduced air pollution as a result of actions to reduce [greenhouse gas] emissions can be substantial and may offset a substantial fraction of mitigation costs.”
  • Voluntary Action Ineffective:  “The majority of [voluntary] agreements has not achieved significant emissions reductions beyond business as usual.”

“There are already bills in Congress that follow the prescriptions in this report – namely the Safe Climate Act in the House and the Global Warming Pollution Reduction Act in the Senate,” added Willcox.  “These bills would reduce U.S. global warming pollution by 80% by 2050 by requiring improvements in energy efficiency and increased use of renewable energy like wind, solar, and geothermal."

But Willcox again emphasized that Pennsylvania cannot be waiting for Congress to act.

"Pennsylvania is a big part of the global warming problem, and we therefore need to play a big part in pushing for global warming solutions at the state level," said Willcox.  "PennEnvironment urges Gov. Rendell and the state's leaders to move quickly to adopt a state-level global warming pollution reduction plan, similar to that already being developed by New Jersey."

A final synthesis of the IPCC’s Fourth Assessment Report is due out later this year.  The full Fourth Assessment Report includes input from more than 2,500 experts worldwide. 

The previous two volumes, released earlier this year, concluded that (1) global warming is “unequivocal;” (2) burning fossil fuels and other human activities are responsible for most of the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-20th century; (3) the impacts are already evident worldwide and will worsen significantly, with increasing droughts, floods, heat waves, water shortages, forest fires, and coastal flooding in store for the U.S.; but that (4) “many impacts can be avoided, reduced, or delayed” by quickly and substantially reducing global warming pollution.
 
The IPCC was established by the United Nations Environmental Program and the World Meteorological Organization in 1988 with a mandate to assess the state of knowledge on global warming on a “comprehensive, objective, open and transparent basis” and to generate documents that reflect a consensus among those involved.  In 1990, 1995, and 2001, the IPCC issued its prior assessments.

Willcox also noted that the report is inherently conservative because it reflects the consensus of hundreds of parties, including industry groups and governments opposed to taking action to reduce global warming pollution.

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PennEnvironment is a non-profit and non-partisan environmental advocacy organization with roughly 15,000 citizen members throughout Pennsylvania.  Additional information about our organization, and our work on global warming and other issues, can be found at www.PennEnvironment.org.